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"Big Country" definitely has the edge in experience and on the ground. He's also proven to have a chin only slightly less fragile than Homer Simpson's. His best bet will be to take the fight to the ground and let his girth smother Mitrione while landing short elbows and maintaining top position.
That said, I don't see it happening that way.
Mitrione is far more athletic, has far better hand speed, better boxing and adequate takedown defense. While Nelson likely won't be stopped, I suspect he also won't be able to stop Mitrione from landing early & often from the outside, darting in & out while Nelson tries to load-up a big right hand time & again only to find that he's already eaten a 2-piece combination 'to go' from Mitrione.
Mitrione by unanimous decision.
That said, I don't see it happening that way.
Mitrione is far more athletic, has far better hand speed, better boxing and adequate takedown defense. While Nelson likely won't be stopped, I suspect he also won't be able to stop Mitrione from landing early & often from the outside, darting in & out while Nelson tries to load-up a big right hand time & again only to find that he's already eaten a 2-piece combination 'to go' from Mitrione.
Mitrione by unanimous decision.