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Shit I hope so, 200 at day 25 would be amazing. Rebound 5 pounds with glycogen compensation and be in a good spot for prep.
You might not see a 5lb jump. You are carrying a lot of water. Anywhere from 8 to 10lbs possibly. Give it about a week to 10 days after you stop to see where the weight is at.
Also fasted cardio sucks and has no benefit compared to doing cardio after a meal. Just fyi